Enormous shift to recognize Palestine, [but] without solid peace plan
DC 6.33am
Biden literally said ‘we sanctioned 4 guys, now please ignore 40,000 killed in Gaza (ongoing).’ As of Day-117 war, Gazans population already wipeout around 40,000 — and around 12k - 13k still under the rubbles until now. In contrast, also 4 = the whole defund UNRWA thing now rests on as yet unproven allegations against FOUR PEOPLE [not 12]. Out of 32,000 employees. You lot really take the public for fools huh? Mainstream media loses its appeal daily because of this crap. Call a spade or lose the few viewers you have left. The sum total: despite ICJ ruling govts are party to, the world isn’t yet prioritizing Palestinian survival. One note: famine hasn’t been declared officially in Gaza given aid groups’ lack of access to measure mortality,nutrition. Warnings, signs, food quantities clear, however.
Spain pledge up to EUR 50 Million for Gaza via UNRWA. In contrast, AIPAC secured US$90 million.
actually, 40k already killed, not only 30k.
Plestia Bosbos Alaqad
Clock-timing 17 hours ago actually [lookalike] simultaneously-crucial-wild-weird-but-a lot of questions for Gaza. President Biden [11.32am DC / 5.32pm London / 6.32pm Gütersloh, Feb 1st] immediately issued an Executive Order [EO] aimed at punishing Israeli settlers in the West Bank who have been attacking Palestinians in the occupied territory.
The EO just 22 hours after Blinken [1.18pm DC / 7.18pm London; Jan 31] indicating recognising Palestine as independent state, separate 34 hours after UK Foreign Secretary Lord David William Donald Cameron [2.53am DC / 9.53am London / 10.53am Gütersloh; Jan 30] indicating same step [earlier than US government], that the UK government may consider-decide to recognising Palestine as an independent state.
Cameron, again [2.38pm DC / 8.38pm London, 9.38pm Gütersloh, Feb 1st, just minutes ago], cemented his statement when meet Lebanon Prime Minister Najib Azmi Mikati in Beirut, that Britain could recognize a Palestinian state before a peace deal with Israel.
Take a long look at America's regional diplomacy. It all sounds elegant in Washington, a "set of nested boxes" to unlock, one by one, to end the war and bring lasting peace. Reality, as ever in the Middle East, will be different. The easiest part of the plan would be to secure a temporary truce and a hostage deal. Netanyahu is stalling as always, but a growing number of Israelis think their war in Gaza has reached a point of diminishing returns and a deal is the only way to free the surviving hostages.
After that, everything gets harder. You need to make the temporary truce permanent, which requires a capable and willing entity to secure and govern Gaza. Talk of a "revitalized" PA [Palestine Authority; Mahmoud Abbas regime] seems like wishful thinking, and Arab states have little interest in joining a peacekeeping force.
Saudi Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman is in a hurry to do a deal before November, because this is his best chance for Saudi Arabia to secure a defense treaty with America: Biden is desperate, and the Senate would probably offer bipartisan support. All that could change in November. Even if assume Trump is ‘very close friend’ of MbS, and assuming Trump win the election, MbS apparently wants to secure a ‘NATO Style of Security Pact’ before November 2024.
On Feb. 6th, less 100 hours from now, senior executives from BCG, McKinsey, Teneo & M. Klein will testify before the Senate to talk about their work to expand Saudi influence in corporate America. These are the 4 execs facing unprecedented scrutiny over their Saudi ties. McKinsey has been particularly close to Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman.
Still, MbS needs a commitment from Israel toward creating a Palestinian state. Netanyahu doesn't want to offer one. His coalition would probably blow up if he tried. And to elect a new Knesset and form a new Israeli coalition would take until late summer at the earliest. Biden is hoping to achieve all this while declining to place any serious pressure on the Israeli government, while confronting the reality of America's diminished hard and soft power in the Middle East, and while gearing up for a difficult election in nine months.