Rishi Sunak replace Liz Truss. In Diwali / Deepavali Day, Rishi Sunak become first British PM of colour, first India-origin, first Hindu at no.10, to be PM of the United Kingdom. He’s also youngest PM UK in the modern history (42 years old).
step by step:
Indicated a preference (per 1235 / 12.35 pm October 24th London time) Boris Johnson 76 MPs only. He was struggled, only reach 9 MPs in latest 52 hours.
Boris is 1st candidate to reach at least 50 backers (Oct 21, 00.12 am).
October 23, 9.03 PM, Boris Johnson pulls out of the Tory leadership contest.
Rishi Sunak 202 MPs. 15 of them from / originally vote for Boris but switched to Sunak. 1 MP from originally vote Penny Mordaunt and then change his vote to Sunak (George Freeman).
Sunak surpassed Boris since Oct 21,10.57 am 🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨 and nominated because already have 100 MPs.
Penny Mordaunt 30 (include 2 SWITCHERS from BoJo sides). Penny finally pulls out (1.58 pm London time, Oct 24th). So Rishi Sunak officially to be newest PM of the United Kingdom.
Boris Johnson is still being being investigated by the Privileges Committee for potentially misleading the House with partygate lies (party amid coronavirus in 10). Until that investigation is complete and he is found guilty or cleared, there should be no possibility of him returning to 10. Death with Coronavirus on the death certificate, according UK coronavirus tracker: 205,843
*this diagram created by Jon Worth, political expert & public transport expert
Inequality - gargantuan gap of wealth in UK:
(Promoting to more engage in Substack) Seamless to listen to your favorite podcasts on Substack. You can buy a better headset to listen to a podcast here (GST DE352306207). Listeners on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Overcast, or Pocket Casts simultaneously. podcasting can transform more of a conversation. Invite listeners to weigh in on episodes directly with you and with each other through discussion threads. At Substack, the process is to build with writers. Podcasts are an amazing feature of the Substack. I wish it had a feature to read the words we have written down without us having to do the speaking.
Other hand, Labour lead 39 points by Tories (53 % vs 14% Tories vs 11% Lib Dems vs 6% Green vs 5% Scotland National Party), polling by People Polling on October 20th (*immediately polling after Liz Truss resign). Labour push General Election.
(Immediately after Boris Johnson pulls out of the Tory leadership)
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Biden has tried to breathe a little optimism into global politics by the world’s actual and purported democracies. The gathering has elicited predictable hostility from China and Russia, as well as criticism within the United States about the choice of invitees. Some, understandably, have emphasized the overwhelming importance of the democracies in attendance setting an example through their behavior, rather than simply preaching (sometimes a little hypocritically). And Liz Truss create a bigger disaster than entire years of Boris Johnson helmed at 10. Since Sept. 7th Liz Truss start to lead UK, but already she resign (October 20th). Jeremy Hunt will not stand for the leadership contest, so, the biggest chance to replace Truss is Penny Mordaunt.
*Guardian didn’t hold back about “TOFU” after Suella Braverman got fired
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Let’s start about Boris before Liz Truss.
But, a tawdry political scandal in Britain – concerning rave parties held in (former, because resign on July 7th 2022) Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s official residence and office during coronavirus lockdown late last year – has recently highlighted one of the central virtues of genuinely democratic societies: their leaders cannot get away indefinitely with bad, corrupt, or self-serving behavior. At long last, Johnson now seems to be finding that out.
Boris Johnson seems to have forgotten that the purchase that rules have on behavior rests on people buying into their moral content, which relies in turn on the rule-makers acting as exemplars. Boris’ administration built entirely on lies and the bogus charisma of one of the most fraudulent individuals ever to inhabit public life in Britain, has come to an inevitable and inglorious end.
UK economy grew by 7.5% in 2021, fastest since ONS (Office for National Statistics) records began in 1948. But, only half the story. The sharp rise only being possible because of the record 9.4% slump in the economy in 2020. The grew in the UK actually happened in another countries in 2021. As UK inflation hits 9.4%, people struggling more and more but won't be until mid Sept that govt takes any serious action. Desperately sad state of affairs.
All the evidence points to how the UK think tank and policy development world in and around Westminster and Whitehall is not intellectually or psychologically equipped to develop effective responses to an economic environment defined by labour shortages. Because crumbling after Boris exit, UK government has still not initiated set up a press conference with the Prime Minister or senior ministers explaining what the UK's emergency energy measures will be and how they will be coordinated with UK businesses, trade unions and European allies. energy crisis is the kind of thing the UK government's Cobra committee was set up to handle.
Instead of chairing weekly meetings on the energy crisis, UK government ministers are absorbed with a party leadership election while the Prime Minister is doing stunts in fighter jets. The frustrating aspect of the energy crisis when it comes to the UK is that UK state and society are capable of mobilising resources to handle the energy crisis and other challenges. The paralysis is generated by a ruling party consumed by infighting and culture war obsessions
Enfant terrible of British politics, is currently embroiled in a very British scandal. As in the recent eponymous BBC television miniseries based on the infamous 1963 Argyll v. Argyll case, at stake is a high-profile divorce. But, this time, the potential split is political. And Johnson’s supposed Teflon shield finally shows signs of wearing thin.
On January 31, a report by civil servant Sue Gray highlighted “failures of leadership and judgment” regarding gatherings that took place at 10 Downing Street at a time when Johnson’s government was imposing stringent COVID-19 restrictions on the rest of the country. Gray’s report was then referred for further investigation by the Metropolitan Police.
Under scrutiny are at least 12 “wine and cake” gatherings, several of which Johnson is known to have attended. In the wake of the revelations, more than a dozen Conservative members of Parliament have submitted letters of no confidence in Johnson (54 such letters would trigger a formal vote of no confidence among Tory MPs). In addition, five of the prime minister’s key aides – including longstanding confidante Munira Mirza, often called “Boris’s Brain” – have quit.
Calls for Johnson to go are growing louder, then he finally resigned on July 7th. The current level of debate in the Tory Party leadership is also a product of how disastrously crackpot economic and geopolitical talking points were indulged for too long by London-based think tankers, pundits. number of people in denial about how Johnson will entertain comebacks and be an all-round disruptive force in UK politics for years is quite something Johnson was disastrous in government and a slightly above average campaigner, but he's world-beating at destructive scheming.
Weird world where the next PM of a UK with 67m+ people will be installed by fewer than 0.3% - 200,000 members of the Conservative Party. Theresa Mary May won 60% support from her MPs en route to becoming party leader in 2016, while Alexander Boris de Pfeffel Johnson had 51% in 2019. By contrast, Rishi Sunak and Mary Elizabeth Truss enter the runoff with support at 38% and 32%, respectively
He (Rishi Sunak) or she (Liz Truss) will lack authority and a national mandate. The sort of painful UK economic, 5% public sector wage increase would cost about £7bn more than in the public sector plans. The candidates (Sunak, Mordaunt, Truss) worried this was inflationary It is a fraction of their tax cuts, which they think aren’t inflationary.
No one in UK really believe a change of PM should be followed automatically by a General Election. The next Prime Minister will be someone who propped up Johnson, voted for every one of his 15 tax rises, and parroted his lies. After 12 years of Conservative failure they expect to more time to fail. Their time is up.
There are two things emerged. The first is that like all Conservative politicians, he invokes the need to heal the divisions Brexit has caused but wants to do so by leaning into the Hard Brexit project. “Boris has to to get elected" arguments, he says he means it. How does backing a hard Brexit heal the division? There is literally nothing on offer to those who backed Remain. This is just as doomed a strategy for him as it has been Johnson because it is not materially different. The core error in all this analysis is to assume that Boris Johnson has a plan to minimize bad impact of Hard Brexit. A more likely possibility is that Boris Johnson is so emotionally incapable of making tough decisions that he keeps procrastinating in the hope something comes up.
Any analysis of Boris Johnson’s public utterances is rendered particularly difficult by the fact that there is no systematic correlation between what he says and external facts, or external events, or his own actions. Any interpretation of his words is therefore equally valid. It was hoped that "Remainers" would lose heart and find a way to see Brexit as a success. But they conspicuously haven't. Scepticism is stronger. Starmer says he'll make it work because it has to work for his kids and ours. But that's just "believe harder" with a red rosette. or them the Brexit opportunities are the de-regulation they wanted from the outset and which the very harms Brexit has caused are now being used to justify.
Rishi Sunak and Liz Truss (not clear about Mordaunt plan) are more similar than they appear: they are both instinctively lower tax, smaller state, deregulators. Both are a big break from Johnson’s approach. Policy is going to change. Sunak and Truss will have the room for manoeuvre to define the UK government's policy agenda rather than find themselves so constrained by the pace of crisis that they end up losing control of the direction the UK is going.
Every Tory MP on the Right alienated or passed over by Johnson's successor will gravitate back to Johnson in ways that will continue to disrupt the Tory Party for years to come. Brexit is the very epitome of looking back. It is shot through with confected nostalgia for a Britain that never existed. It is about ignoring economic and geopolitical realities in favour of misty, exceptionalist histories. And the next PM, by Tory, maybe still same (too much) scandal.
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