Live Update: Missile Hit Poland, NATO Readiness Initiative, and Lavrov in G20
CRISIS RUSSIA - UKRAINE - POLAND
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about disastrous-error reporting by AP about missile hit Przewodow Lublin Poland, in here:
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(Nov 17th) 7.48 am DC / 12.48 pm Brussels & Warsaw / 1.10 pm Kyiv / 2.10 pm Moscow / 7.40 pm Denpasar Bali
Exclusive to Bloomberg's Editor-in-Chief John Micklethwait, about missile hit Przewodowo Poland, Zelensky say “I don’t know 100% -- I think the world also doesn’t 100% know what happened. We can’t say specifically that this was the air defense of Ukraine.”
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7.48 am DC / 12.48 pm Brussels & Warsaw / 1.10 pm Kyiv / 2.10 pm Moscow / 7.40 pm Denpasar Bali
“(unfortunately 2 innocent polish hit barrage missile, but) This is not Ukraine's fault." #NATO Stoltenberg says "caused Ukrainian air defence missile fired to defend Ukrainian territory against Russian cruise missile attacks."
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7.40 am DC / 12.40 pm Warsaw / 1.40 pm Kyiv / 1.40 pm Moscow / 7.40 pm Denpasar Bali
Poland PM Mateusz Jakub Morawiecki:
"At the moment, not be necessary to launch #NATO article 4 procedure. Poland stresses blame is all Russia's given its ongoing assault on Ukraine. Early signs indicating that during a mass RU attack on Western Ukraine on Tue, a UA defence rocket neutralised a Russian rocket but unfortunately fell on the Polish side. explosion site secured, inquiries ongoing. No sign it was a deliberate attack on Poland from Russia"
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7.10 am DC / 12.10 pm Warsaw / 1.10 pm Kyiv / 1.10 pm Moscow / 7.10 pm Denpasar Bali
Poland's President Andrzej Duda says missile blast killed 2 in #Przewodow #Hrubieszów appears 'unfortunate accident,' not an 'intentional attack.'
detail (specific) minute by minute:
3.20 am Warsaw: Biden in press pool say “(missile) was unlikely from Russia
6.08 am Warsaw: 3 US officials (with anonymity) say missile was fired by Ukrainian forces (air defense system) at incoming Russian missile.
7.38 am Warsaw: Biden reiterated, directly informed G7 NATO partners that the Poland Przewodow blast was caused by Ukrainian air defence missile.
10.58 am Warsaw: Poland Government has withdrawn its request invoke #NATO Article 4
12.10 pm Warsaw: President Andrzej Duda say missile 'unfortunate accident,' not an 'intentional attack.'
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5.58 am DC / 10.58 am Warsaw / 11.58 am Kyiv / 12.58 pm Moscow / 5.58 pm Denpasar Bali
Warsaw has withdrawn its request invoke #NATO Article 4 meeting over the missile hit in #Przewodow
#NATO ambassadors will discuss the situation. Sec Gen Stoltenberg will brief.
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2.48 am DC / 7.48 am Warsaw / 8.48 am Kyiv / 9.48 am Moscow / 2.48 pm Denpasar Bali
CIA Director William Burns to meet Zelensky & his intelligence counterparts. Burns, was safely in US Embassy during Russian missile strikes. Not yet comment about #Przewodow In Monday, Burns met Sergey Yevgenyevich Naryshkin (Head SVR) in Ankara
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2.38 am DC / 7.38 am Warsaw / 8.38 am Kyiv / 9.38 am Moscow / 2.38 pm Denpasar Bali
Biden wheels up from Bali, headed back home (Joint Base Andrew U.S.)
Before headed home, Biden reiterated, directly informed G7 NATO partners that the Poland Przewodow blast was caused by Ukrainian air defence missile — NATO source
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1.35 am Washington DC / 6.35 am Warsaw / 7.35 am Kyiv / 8.35 am Moscow / 1.35 pm Denpasar Bali
Stop the war, Stop the War (Jokowi)
Jokowi handover G20 Chairmanship to India’s Narendra Modi
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1.08 am Washington DC / 6.08 am Warsaw / 7.08 am Kyiv / 1.08 pm Denpasar Bali
Erdoğan (in Bali) says he has to respect #Russian statement on missile that fell in Poland Przewodow
“I believe in what Russia said. There has to be a further investigation”
(* Turkiye NATO member since February 18th 1952)
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1.08 am Washington DC / 6.08 am Warsaw / 7.08 am Kyiv / 1.08 pm Denpasar Bali
3 (Three) US officials (with anonymity):
Initial findings suggest missile hit #Przewodow #Poland was fired by Ukrainian forces (air defense system) at incoming Russian missile.
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1.01 am Washington DC / 6.01 am Warsaw / 7.01 am Kyiv / 8.01 am Moscow / 1.01 pm am Denpasar Bali
After 5 hours ago in G7 - NATO emergency meeting, Biden & Sunak sideline meeting a short stroll away. Sunak is the 3rd person on call with Pres. Poland Andrzej Duda.
FM Blinken called Ukraine's FM Dmytro Kuleba, & discussed "ongoing assessments" of what happened in Przewodow Poland, but not yet with Polish FM Zbigniew Rau.
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4.57 am Berlin, Warsaw / 5.57 am Kyiv / 6.57 am Moscow / 11.57 am Denpasar Bali
Chancellor Olaf Scholz urges intense investigation into events in Poland, confirms NATO leaders convened this morning amid Day 2 G20 Summit, condemns Tuesday’s Russian strikes on Ukrainian cities “while we’re all together here in Bali“.
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9.56 pm Mar-a-Lago / 11.56 pm Washington DC / 4.56 am Warsaw / 5.56 am Kyiv / 6.56 am Moscow / 11.56 am Denpasar Bali
Trump, run again for 2024 Election, reiterated his claim: "Ukraine would have never happened if I were your president.”
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11.44 pm Washington DC / 4.44 am Warsaw / 5.44 am Kyiv / 6.44 am Moscow / 11.44 am Denpasar Bali
Jokowi denied to response missiles hit Poland :
“G20 economic forum, not political forum, so here we talk about economy.”
*Developed by Indonesia & Italy, Pandemic Fund #G20 has raised (so far) US$ 1,4 billion
When Jokowi try mediate Kyiv Zelensky & Moscow Putin last June, Jokowi use Warsaw to be transit point. Until tonight, this year, only Jokowi who visit Kyiv and Moscow.
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10.20 pm Washington DC / (Nov. 16th) 3.20 am Warsaw / (Nov 16th) 4.20 am Kyiv / (Nov 16th) 5.20 am Moscow / (Nov 16th) 10.20 am Denpasar Bali
Biden:
“There is preliminary information that contests that the missile that landed in Poland was fired from Russia. It is unlikely in the lines of the trajectory that it was fired from Russia but we’ll see. (NATO) ambassadors meeting would be called.
(KOMPAS, the largest newspaper circulation in Southeast Asia and 4th in Asia, with headline “Geopolitical Issue”. Photo: Gala Dinner in GWK Bali, by Presidential Palace Photographer team - Laily Rachev)
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8.58 pm Washington DC / (Nov. 16th) 1.58 am Warsaw / (Nov 16th) 2.58 am Kyiv / (Nov 16th) 3.58 am Moscow / (Nov 16th) 8.58 am Denpasar Bali
A snap meeting, immediately meeting amid G20 Summit, by G7 & NATO members in Bali.
At least Biden, PM Canada, Trudeau & PM of Japan FM Kishida Fumio postponed to Bangkok (APEC Summit). Remains in Bali. Slated to leave.
No additional detail about meeting Kishida - Xi Jinping in Bangkok (*first report: schedule in Thursday)
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8.09 pm Washington DC / (Nov. 16th) 1.09 am Warsaw / (Nov 16th) 2.09 am Kyiv / (Nov 16th) 3.09 am Moscow / (Nov 16th) 8.09 am Denpasar Bali
(*after call with Biden 50 minutes long, 2 hours ago)
President Andrzej Duda:
#Poland has no concrete evidence showing who fired missile that caused an explosion in #Przewodów
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7.22 pm Washington DC / 11.22 pm Warsaw / (Nov 16th) 0.22 am Kyiv / (Nov 16th) 1.22 am Moscow / (Nov 16th) 7.22 am Denpasar Bali
FM Poland Zbigniew Rau:
Russian Missiles hit Przewodow at 3.40 pm.
Ministry immediately summoned Sergey Andreev, Russian Ambassador for Poland
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7.15 pm Washington DC / 11.15 pm Warsaw / (Nov 16th) 0.15 am Kyiv / (Nov 16th) 1.15 am Moscow / (Nov 16th) 7.15 am Denpasar Bali
Call between President of Poland Andrzej Duda and PM UK Rishi Sunak in Denpasar ended.
Not clear minute start of call. At least, Duda was on call with (1) Biden, (2) Zelensky, and (3) NATO Stoltenberg.
UK was 2nd biggest arm supplies “assistance” for Ukraine, in the wake Ukraine - Russia war, since biggest effort from former PM Boris Johnson.
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7.06 pm Washington DC / 11.06 am Warsaw / (Nov 16th) 0.06 am Kyiv / (Nov 16th) 1.06 am Moscow / (Nov 16th) 7.06 am Denpasar Bali
Former Kremlin advisor Sergei Markov:
Russia was framed for a missile strike on Poland as it occurred one day before a NATO meeting in Ramstein about arming Ukraine.
*no detail info place/base/office for NATO emergency meeting. Still plan in Ramstein, or not.
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10.16 pm Warsaw / 6.16 pm Washington DC / 11.16 pm Kyiv / (Nov 16th) 0.16 am Moscow / (Nov 16th) 6.16 am Denpasar Bali
Mateusz Lachowski (POLSAT NEWS): The missile fired towards Poland is a Kh-101, a Russian stealthy air-launched cruise missile.
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9.56 pm Warsaw / 10.56 pm Kyiv / 5.56 pm Washington DC / 11.56 pm Moscow / (Nov 16th) 5.56 am Denpasar Bali
NATO Ambassadors call emergency meeting
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9.44 pm Warsaw / 10.44 pm Kyiv / 5.44 pm Washington DC / 11.44 pm Moscow / (Nov 16th) 5.44 am Denpasar Bali
President Andrzej Duda on call with Secretary General NATO Jens Stoltenberg
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9.04 pm Warsaw / 10.04 pm Kyiv / 5.04 pm Washington DC / 11.04 pm Moscow / (Nov 16th) 5.04 am Denpasar Bali
Piotr Muller (Poland Government Spox):
Poland is considering invoking article Article 4 of the NATO treaty. Investigation into the explosion(s) that killed 2 people near the Ukrainian border is ongoing. Poland raising the readiness of its military units.
8.58 pm Warsaw / 9.58 pm Kyiv / 10.58 pm Moscow / 4.58 pm Washington DC / (Nov 16th) 4.58 am Denpasar Bali
White House asks Congress for US$37.7 billion in Ukraine aid.
If passed, that would bring the total U.S. aid to that embattled nation to more than US$100 billion this year.
The proposed Ukraine assistance includes $21.7 billion for the Department of Defense that will be spent on “equipment for Ukraine, replenishment of Department of Defense stocks, and for continued military, intelligence and other defense support, $14.5 billion for the State Department for “direct budget support to Ukraine, critical wartime investments, security assistance, to strengthen global food security, and for humanitarian assistance,” $626 million for the Department of Energy “for nuclear security support to Ukraine and for modernizing the Strategic Petroleum Reserve,” and $900 million for the Department of Health and Human Services “to provide standard assistance health care and support services to Ukrainian parolees,” per the fact sheet.
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9.40 pm Warsaw / 10.40 pm Kyiv / 11.40 pm Moscow / 4.40 pm Washington DC / (Nov 16th) 0.44 am Moscow / (Nov 16th) 4.40 am Denpasar Bali
Trilateral Call: in Warsaw President Andrzej Duda, in Denpasar Bali by Biden, and Zelensky in Kyiv.
Call ended 5.30 am Bali (/ 10.30 pm Warsaw, 11.30 pm Kyiv)
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8.56 pm Warsaw / 9.56 pm Kyiv / 10.56 pm Moscow / 3.56 pm Washington DC / (Nov 16th) 3.56 am Denpasar Bali
US National Security Council Spox Adrienne Watson (not yet Jake Sullivan) cannot confirm about Russian missiles hit Poland - Ukraine border.
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8.54 pm Warsaw / 9.54 pm Kyiv / 10.54 pm Moscow / 3.54 pm Washington DC / (Nov 16th) 3.54 am Denpasar Bali
Brig. Gen. Patrick S. Ryder (Dir Public Affairs, Pentagon):
When it comes to our security commitments and Article 5, we have been crystal clear: we will defend every inch of NATO territory. Poland could opt to invoke Article 5 of "collective defense" that an attack on one is an attack on all. Poland has another option: Article 4 about consultation.
Poland has a RAT-31DL radar at Łabunie, which is tied into NATO's Integrated Air Defense. RAT-31DL has a range of 500 km. Łabunie is 40 km from Przewodów, where the missiles exploded.
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8.08 pm Warsaw / 9.08 pm Kyiv / 10.08 pm Moscow / 3.08 pm Washington DC / (Nov 16th) 3.08 am Denpasar Bali
Missiles hit Przewodów are most likely remains of [Russian] rockets shot down by Armed Forces of Ukraine. Source: Mariusz Gierszewski from Radio ZET Poland.
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5.49 pm Warsaw / 6.49 pm Kyiv / 7.49 pm Moscow / 12.49 pm DC / (Nov 16th) 0.49 am Bali
Polish PM Mateusz Morawiecki has called an urgent / emergency meeting
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5 pm Warsaw / 6 pm Kyiv / 7 pm Moscow / 12 pm Washington DC / (Nov 16th) 0.00 am Denpasar Bali
2 missiles hit [Poland] Przewodów, Lublin, Poland - Ukraine border. 2 died. Source: Mariusz Gierszewski from Radio ZET Poland (5 pm aired news by Mariusz).
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5.11 pm Warsaw / 6.11 pm Kyiv / 7.11 pm Moscow / 12.11 pm Washington DC / (Nov 16th) 0.11 am Denpasar Bali
Statement by National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan about missiles raid to Kyiv (not Poland Przewodów)
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5 pm Warsaw / 6 pm Kyiv / 7 pm Moscow / 12 pm Washington DC / (Nov 16th) 0.00 am Denpasar Bali
Same hour, Kyiv tonight hit around 100 missiles. Only Kyiv. No data (missiles hit other cities in Ukraine)
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5 pm Warsaw / 6 pm Kyiv / 7 pm Moscow / 12 pm Washington DC / (Nov 16th) 0.00 am Denpasar Bali
Strike to Poland Przewodów and Kyiv only minutes after Foreign Minister Russia Lavrov leave Bali (G20)
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(CORRECTION because precisely info by Foreign Minister Zbigniew Rau at 0.22 am Warsaw —- without erase already timeline)
3.40 pm Warsaw / 4.40 pm Kyiv / 5.40 pm Moscow / 10.40 am Washington DC / 10.40 pm Denpasar Bali
2 missiles hit [Poland] Przewodów, Lublin, Poland - Ukraine border.
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3.30 pm Warsaw / 4.30 pm Kyiv / 5.30 pm Moscow / 10.30 am Washington DC / 10.30 pm Denpasar Bali
FM Russia Sergei Lavrov leave Bali
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9 am Warsaw / 10 am Warsaw / 11 am Warsaw / 4 am Washington DC / 4 pm Bali
Biden immediately met up with Erdogan (margin / sideline meeting / corridor talk). Agenda: Istiklal bomb, Grain Access in Black Sea, open communication line with Putin (Erdogan mediator NATO, Ukraine & Russia)
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(Nov 14th) 10 pm DC / (Nov 15th) 10 am Bali
Lavrov stayed in his seat for Zelenskiy's virtual speech to G20 Leaders. Zelensky says G19 (not G20), to laughing Lavrov presents in G20. Then others stayed in theirs for Lavrov's, in which he said he had to respond to Zelenskiy and repeated false claims about fighting neo-Nazis in Ukraine.
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(Nov 14th) 4 pm DC and NYC / (Nov 15th) 10 am Bali
China voted with Russia and against a UN resolution to "provide a basis for future reparations from Russia to Ukraine". Cuba, Belarus, Iran, Eritrea, North Korea, Syria etc also voted with Russia.
Indonesia abstain.
Brunei, Cambodia (Chairmanship ASEAN this year), Malaysia, Thailand, Lao PDR, Timor Leste, Vietnam abstain
Surprisingly Myanmar favor (beside Singapore)
India (G20 Chairmanship 2023) abstain
Israel (*Zelensky is Jewish, former PM Naftali Bennet was try to negotiate peace between Putin & Zelensky since March) abstain
Refresh this substack to see more update about NATO - Russia after missiles hit Poland. Rest in peace to all the victims in Przewodów, Lublin . Not sure if twitter’s gonna be around much longer, join my substack to keep in touch (*was in English, German, Francais, Turkiye, Indonesian language. More / Planning: Italy, Dutch)
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Monday Nov 14th
Dir. CIA William Burns met up secretly in Ankara, with Dir. SVR Sergey Naryshkin. Less 24 hours after Istiklal Bomb (Istanbul Turkiye).